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March 27, 2024

US faces potential shortage of 86,000 physicians by 2036: AAMC

Becker's ASC Review
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Summary
A recent report from the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) forecasts a potential shortage of physicians in the U.S. ranging between 13,500 and 86,000 by 2036. This projection is an update from the AAMC's 2021 report, which estimated a significantly higher shortage. The adjusted forecast reflects speculation on the growth of medical residency positions, contingent on further funding beyond current levels. AAMC President and CEO David Skorton emphasizes the critical need for continued investment in the physician workforce to avert this potential shortage. The report also underscores the influence of demographic shifts, such as population growth and aging, on the increasing demand for physicians, highlighting ongoing efforts and the necessity for expanded graduate medical education to train more doctors for future healthcare needs.

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